I think that every anime lover knows bout the series Goblin Slayer. It is a dark fantasy series covering the story of a guy in a suit of armor and his intense hatred to destroy all the goblins. There are countless fans of the series across the globe. With the release of the first season, the fans already started asking when there will be the Goblin Slayer season 2. And this question has now changed to is there relay going to be Goblin Slayer Season 2 in 2020.
Without having the Goblin Slayer Season 2, we can never see the growth of the Goblin Slayer and his party and how many goblins will they be able to slay or if he can fulfill his goal of ridding the world of the goblins.
There is only one other way than watching the anime of learning this and that is to read the source material of this series. Still, most people do not like to read as watching the anime is more satisfying with vibrant animation and thrilling action sequences.
The problem with all this is that the Goblin Slayer Season 2 is yet to be announced officially. Also, we are not aware of the actual chances of this series getting green-lit for a sequel season.
How to Figure Out If There Is Going To Be A “Goblin Slayer Season 2”?
There are many methods to calculate the possibility for a sequel of an anime. We also have one such particular method of our own. We came upon with this method after watching hundreds of different genre anime series. This method involves collecting all the latest info related to sales, popularity and source material of an anime. This method actually gives a 95percnet accurate estimate about a series possibility for getting a sequel or not.
We took this very same method and used it to determine possibility of Goblin Slayer Season 2. So if you are a fan of Goblin Slayer and are waiting for 2nd season, we advise you to find the possibility for 2nd season below. The information we have is available in 3 short and easy-to-understand parts.
Section I: Source Material Info About “Goblin Slayer Season 2”:-
For Goblin Slayer anime, the source material is in the light novel form which has also been adapted into a manga. Also, this manga adaption is actually doing far better in terms of sales as compared to light novel sales.
In this part we will be seeing if the light novel is still in continuation or if this story has already reached an end. A light novel with ongoing status is most likely to have a better chance for getting its sequel. For example, this is the reason; we think that there is a chance for The Misfit of the Demon King Academy Season 2 despite the anime not having great sales.
Following this, we will then figure out actually how many of the light novel volumes shave been used for the production of Goblin Slayer season 1 and its movie. If the anime has already caught up with the source material, the series might suffer from same problem as No Game No Life Season 2.
How many Light Novel/Manga volumes does Goblin Slayer Season 2 have?
So far, there are 13 published volumes of the Goblin Slayer light novel; all of which are released in Japan. As for the Goblin Slayer manga series, it has 10 published volumes along with a sequel manga series.
Is it in Continuation?
Luckily for the Goblin Slayer series fans, the light novel is still ongoing. The author of the novel Kumo Kagyu leased the latest volume of the novel back on 14th October 2020. The author released 3 books for 2018, 2 books for 2019. As for the year 2020, he has released 2 volumes.
Which volumes of light novel have been covered for anime?
The Goblin Slayer Season 1 was aired back in 2018 and it was adapted from volume 1 to 2 of the light novel with some parts of volume 4. As for the Goblin Slayer movie titled “Goblin’s Crown”, it made use of the source material of the entire volume 5 of the light novel. This means that so far, this entire series of first season and movie has covered 4 volumes.
With about 9 volumes of the light novel left, there is enough to go on for at least 2 seasons or 1 season and a movie in 2020. This concludes that there is no problem for the series in terms of its source material.
Section II: Information about Sales & Profit:-
The prime reason for any anime adaption is due to possibility of earning profits for the production house and the investors in the venture. This is why the possibility for an anime’s sequel is solely based upon the determination of the sales & profits.
An anime series on a level of Goblin Slayer usually takes around 3 to 4 million dollars for an entire season’s production. Even if the first season of Goblin Slayer made enough profits, it doesn’t necessarily mean that the 2nd season will also do so. In fact, in some cases, the sequel season often sees a drop of almost 20 percent minimum in terms of profits. A common example of this scenario is Noragami. Noragami’s sequel seasons saw a drop in their profits and why there is no Noragami Season 3.
The company behind the production of Goblin Slayer is WhiteFox. They also made blu-ray disks for the series and 4000 of them were sold. This was a great figure considering it was back in 2018 as the blu-ray sales have been sharply dropping in the past few years.
As people now have the option of online streaming for the anime, more and more people are opting out of buying these blu-ray disks. Only some big anime series such as One Punch Man are still having blu-ray sales. This is why there is a possibility for One Punch Man Season 3.
Light Novel sales:
The latest volume 13 of the Goblin Slayer light novel had a sale of about 27000 copies with volume 12 having a sale of 31000 copies. Speaking averagely, this figure is about 30K for each volume. And this is great omen for a series because series selling in-between 20 to 40 thousand copies per volume is a popular one. Still, it does not count as a hit as for that the figure needs to reach 50K and this bad news for a boost of an anime series’ sequel.
A fine comparison of this is Classroom of the Elite; a recent anime adaption of the light novel which sold even fewer volumes than the Goblin Slayer. It had a sale of around 10K per volume. As for the boost of sales from anime, it is now selling 100K copies per volume. Still, we think that despite this great boost, there is minimum chances for the Classroom of the Elite Season 2.
The Goblin Slayer manga series is actually far more popular as compared to its light novel. This latest volume 10 of the manga series had a sale of around 100K copies. As for the previous manga volumes, it had a sale of about 150K copies, which makes it a great hit.
Any manga series which has a sale in between 100K to 250K is a great manga. Hover, the hit status can only be achieved at the mark of 250K copies sold. This makes it seems that the anime did not contribute much towards the sales of both the manga and the light novel. This is because, even before this anime adaptation, the manga sales were 100K copies per volume on average.
The Goblin Slayer series also reminds us of the series Wise Man’s grandchild which has this very same problem. Its manga adaption was far more popular as compared with the light novel. Also, its sales are similar to Goblin Slayer, which makes us wonder will there be Wise Man’s Grandchild Season 2 or not.
For the entire series, there have been only 11 figurines and most of them are of the characters like Goblin Slayer and the priestess. Also, the Cow Girl and High Elf Archer both have only 1 figurine each. Other than this, the franchise also has 50 other merchandise items.
These merchandise items are not doing quite well in terms of quaintly. For a series like Goblin Slayer, it needs to have a minimum of 10 to 20 figurines with merchandise numbering in-between 100 to 300. Even Overlord; a dark fantasy Isekai series, has high number of figurines and merchandise items. This is the main reason why we think there will be Overlord Season 4.
Movie Box Office:
The movie titled “Goblin Slayer: Goblin Crown” was released in cinemas across Japan. It delivered a business of around 100 Million Japanese Yen or 1 Million US Dollars. As of the blu-ray disks of the movie, they had a sale of about 4000 copies. The film delivered even worse than the Accel World movie which as only a half recap and a limited release.
All this information looks bad for a series that is looking for a sequel season. It is, in fact, opposite to what happened for Konosuba. Its movie actually delivered high sales and green-lit the chances for Konosuba Season 3.
All the things we explained above are some of the methods through which an anime series generates profits. Still, there are many others but all of them cannot be explained here. These others places to generate profits for an anime franchise include OST, sales of ending & opening songs, web radio, international streaming licenses for Funimation & Crunchyroll as well as several other collaborations.
While the blu-ray disk sales for the Goblin Slayer Season 1 are great, they provide little to nothing help for a sequel’s chances. Merchandise wise, the series is performing poorly along with the movie bombing on box office. It is safe to say that the series, while didn’t lost money, it still couldn’t make any that it hoped for.
Section III: Information on Popularity of the Franchise:-
Popularity is also an important factor is determining a possibility for sequel season. This is what happened in case of Tokyo Ravens and why there is no chance for Tokyo Ravens Season 2. We have a few tricks to check how much popular an anime series is doing currently and also to see if the production committee is interested in pursuing the franchise for future.
This method includes checking the Google trends number of print copies, new merchandise items as well as official website’s activity. All of these information combine will give us a clear estimate towards the possibility for Goblin Slayer Season 2.
The last update of Goblin Slayer’s official website was made back in September of 2020. It was about the movie Goblin’s Crown available for watching on online streaming platforms. As for tits official twitter account, it has over 45K followers with last tweet made only few days ago. The tweet was about the release of the Goblin Slayer’s manga volume no. 10.
The popularity of the franchise was at its peak back in October 7th of 2018. It was when the first episode of 1st season aired. Following that, the popularity graph started declining at a rapid pace and stood at 40 percent near the season 1’s end. As for now, the popularity seems to be at when it was before anime release.
The total number of print copies of the manga and the light novel are estimated to be at about 7 million copies until November 2020. This is not a bad figure considering there are only 20 to 25 volumes combined.
As far as the new merchandise release is concerned, there is no news about new items. The last item that this series had was the BD box; released back in July of 2020. Also there is nothing planned for new merchandise.
The first episode of the franchise was a controversial on as it raised the popularity for entire franchise. Still, that episode was not able to turn this audience into die-hard fans of this anime series.
Is there going to be “Goblin Slayer Season 2”:-
This series, at some point, was indeed quite popular but it is not a project that is worth spending money upon. The anime delivered little to no boost towards sales of light novels and manga as well as merchandise. Nothing of this series gives a guarantee for future profit-making.
So, in short, we think that there is almost no chance of Goblin Slayer Season 2 happening in the future. Still, we will be updating this page next year to report any changes to all the above-stated information.
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